Tennessee. All five of the aforementioned states were decided by 1% or less in the year (2016 or 2020) they came off this map. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. Continue with Recommended Cookies. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. High turnout meant long lines, which remain active at some locations.(Any eligible voter in line by 8 p.m. is permitted to vote. There was an error processing your request. In 1980, when John Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state. How a life-sized Biden could be a larger-than-life president, Three reasons Joe Biden flipped the Midwest, 284,931 cast by those registered as no affiliation/third party/other, About 548,000 mail-in ballots have not been returned as of now but if they are postmarked by Election Day (or there is not a "preponderance of evidence" they were sent after) and received within three days, the state Supreme Court said they must be counted. Biden did so by rebuilding the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, according to NBC News projections. Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters Elaine Kamarck Thursday, September 30, 2021 FixGov After a COVID-19-related delay in getting out the census data, states across the country are now. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. polls closed in Calif., Idaho, Ore., Wash. polls closed in Ariz., Colo., Kan., La., Mich., Minn., Neb., N.M., N.Y., N.D., S.D., Texas, Wis., Wyo. And then, like Anita, I am watching to see how POTUS reacts. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. [47][48][49] A different poll that same year grouped the United States into five geographic regions, and found that 37% of Americans favored secession of their own region. Generally, the same held true for married versus single women, but a greater percentage of women overall voted for Obama than for McCain. It is not a blue state or a red state. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. These states often had more regulations and higher taxes. Not one! In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. Each state has one Senator in two of the three classes. Cartographers have traditionally limited the number of classes so that it is always obvious which class a color shade represents. This may have been a holdover from the Civil War, during which the predominantly Republican north was considered "blue". Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. Thus Trump ended with all 20 of Pennsylvanias electoral votes. These are general election results for the years listed. A new, lower flat income tax rate will take effect in 2023. However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. Error! [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. 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There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. Purple states are also often referred to as "battleground" states. The four "mega-states" have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state government-one blue, the other red. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. Vertical lines before 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 show Census-related redistricting breakpoints. Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2ndDistrict. The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. Partly as a result of this eventual and near-universal color-coding, the terms "red states" and "blue states" entered popular use in the weeks after the 2000 presidential election. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. Blue States No. NBC continued its color scheme (blue for Republicans) until 1996. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). All three of those states were very close in both elections. Is Missouri a red state? The "Democratic blue" and "Republican red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? It is not a red state. [59][60][61], "Red state" and "Blue state" redirect here. Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. Map of election results. And since groceries are taxable, Idaho gives residents an annual credit to offset the fees (the credit amount is higher for seniors over 65). Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. Hi everyone from D.C.! Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. Anita What do you want to know? Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that vote strongly Democratic in presidential elections, such as Massachusetts, Illinois, Maryland, Vermont, and New Jersey. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? Thirty of Penn's 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. While some red counties shifted to the left, larger margins of victory than Clinton in already-blue countieswas the primary force thatdrove Biden to victory. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. The Democratic or Republican party of a particular state may have policies that departsometimes greatlyfrom those of the national party, sometimes causing that state to favor one party in state and local elections and the other in presidential elections. I talked to several elected officials and voter rights groups today, and everyone reported high turnout, particularly in Philadelphia. Out of the counties in these states that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016, Biden won only eight of them. Sorry Marc. Wisconsin is a swing, or purple, state. [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900. [1] According to The Washington Post, journalist Tim Russert invented these terms during his televised coverage of the 2000 United States presidential election. The 2020 election has caused anxiety among Americans to remain high as some states are still counting ballots. That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. The 2004 election showed two of these three states to be true to the presidential preferences of their respective regions, creating a greater regional separation; thus, an argument that the country was more divided from the 2000 election. While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate. Quickly thereafter, the term Purple America entered the public lexicon as a way of stating that the United States is not as divided as the political pundits would have the people believe. One thing to keep in mind as we've seen Biden's polling numbers vanish in states like Florida and North Carolina: His leads were much larger in Michigan and Wisconsin, and a bit larger in Pennsylvania. In 2008, college graduates were divided equally; those with postgraduate degrees voted for Obama by an 18% margin. State voted with the overall winning candidate. Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. Per Holly's point, keep in mind Montgomery County is a giant, the third most populous county in the state. Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. PUBLISHED: November 5, 2020 at 11:39 a.m. | UPDATED: November 5, 2020 at 7:29 p.m. Pennsylvania's continued ballot count from the general election showed the state possibly flipping from red to . And West Virginia is losing. But, in the coming days, Pennsylvania underwent what has come to be known as a "blue shift." Democrats had requested more mail-in ballots than Republicans had by a margin of two to one. Manage Settings [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. The state had an additional redistricting before 2018. But Pennsylvania is now red. Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. Independent candidate Ralph Nader did not win any electoral votes, yet he received 2% of the vote of voters from high-income households and voters with graduate degrees. By breaking the map down into smaller units (including many blue counties lying next to red counties), these maps tend to display many states with a purplish hue, thus demonstrating that an ostensibly blue or red state may, in fact, be closely divided. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life?